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Britain's Grocery Inflation Falls For First Time In 21 Months: Kantar

British grocery inflation edged lower in November, a first decline in nearly two years, but remained near record highs, providing little relief for consumers ahead of the key Christmas trading period, industry data showed on Tuesday.

Market researcher Kantar said grocery inflation in the four weeks to 27 November, was 14.6%, down 0.1 percentage points from October's record high, marking the first fall in 21 months.

"Grocery inflation still has a long way to come down though, and based on the current rate, shoppers will have to spend an extra £60 ($73) in December to buy the same items as last year," Fraser McKevitt, Kantar's head of retail and consumer insight said.

The cost of a traditional Christmas dinner for four has hit £31, up 9.3% year-on-year, McKevitt said.

Prices are rising fastest in markets such as milk, dog food and butter, said Kantar.

Grocery Sales Increase

It said grocery sales rose 5.9% year-on-year in the 12 weeks to 27 November, masking a drop in volumes once inflation is accounted for.

It highlighted more evidence of the coping strategies shoppers are adopting to mitigate rising costs, with own-label sales now up 11.7% year-on-year and sales of the cheapest value own-label lines up 46.3%.

Also, German-owned discounters Aldi and Lidl were yet again the fastest growing grocers with sales growth over the 12 weeks of 24.4% and 22.0% respectively, which also reflected the opening of new stores.

Morrisons and Waitrose were again the laggards, with sales declines of 4.7% and 1.8% respectively.

Kantar said its data did not indicate a significant boost to sales from the soccer World Cup, which started Nov. 20.

Separate surveys published on Tuesday by payments processor Barclaycard and the British Retail Consortium showed spending ticked up last month at a rate that greatly lagged behind inflation, underscoring the pressure on household budgets.

UK Grocers' Market Share And Sales Growth (%)

Market share 12 wks to 27 Nov 2022 Market share 12 wks to 28 Nov 2021 % change in sales (yr-on-yr)
Tesco 27.2 27.7 3.9
Sainsbury's 15.2 15.4 4.3
Asda 14.0 14.0 6.1
Aldi 9.3 7.9 24.4
Morrisons 9.0 10.0 -4.7
Lidl 7.4 6.4 22.0
Co-operative 6.0 6.1 3.5
Waitrose 4.5 4.9 -1.8
Iceland 2.3 2.3 6.1
Ocado 1.7 1.8 -0.2

Source: Kantar

News by Reuters, edited by Donna Ahern, Checkout. For more retail stories, click here. Click subscribe to sign up for the Checkout print edition.

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